First, because of this recall, they have solidified Scott Walker's place as a national Republican leader and made it very likely he will win re-election in 2014.
Second, they demoralized their base.
Third, they wasted a ton of money...both their own and the state's.
Now for some truths that should have told Democrats that they shouldn't have even bothered with this recall...
- Don't try to vote someone out of office by having him run against a guy that he already beat once.
- The primary election last month should have been a huge warning flag when the Republicans, in a virtually uncontested race, had almost as many people voting as the Democrats in a hotly contested race.
- The number of recall petitions had a crap load more invalid signatures on them than anyone is be willing to admit. I personally know about 10 people who said they sign petitions more than once. To Scott Walker's credit, he let it go and went through this recall without bitching about it in any way.
- Money had little to do with Scott Walker winning. Most voters were already decided on this race long before it really began. Walker's 8 to 1 financial advantage had little to do with this win.
- Democratic polls were pretty wrong on this. Conservative and independent polls had this race almost exactly right with a 7 point margin.
- The Democrats tried to recall someone because they were angry about a policy. A recall on such a high office doesn't work strictly due to a policy disagreement. There has to be a legal reason, or it has to be a policy that affects a large majority of the people. This was neither.
- Madison is not Wisconsin.
- Public unions are not private unions...there is a big difference and it is time Democrats start to realize that.
- Even though it wouldn't have made much difference, Barrett ran the wrong campaign. The recall revolved around one issue, collective bargaining for public labor unions, and he pretty much ignored that. He ran on a jobs platform. If 1 and a half years of performance on job creation is to be criticized, we should have recalled Barack Obama too.
- Everyone that complains about the corporate money being donated in this campaign is being a hypocrite if they don't also complain about public labor union money being donated in this campaign. Two wrongs don't make a right.
- Scott Walker knew he was going to win. He knew he was going to win months ago. That was probably part of the reason he didn't bother contesting the recall petition signatures. I believe, if he wanted to, he could have gotten them all thrown out because there were such a huge number of invalid signatures submitted (despite popular belief to the contrary).
- On that same note, Walker never sweated this recall campaign. He could have tried to resist the recall effort, but he welcomed it and he coasted to victory. Now he has something to use to justify everything he's done.
And some final thoughts...
- To the Wisconsin Democrats...YOU GOT PLAYED!
- I don't believe this election gives any indication on where the fall Presidential election or the US Senate election will go. Yesterday's results only confirm that most people believe Scott Walker deserves to finish out his term. Wisconsin will likely still favor Obama in the fall, and Herb Kohl's senate seat is a wide open race at this point.
- The Wisconsin state senate appears to have flipped over to democratic control. I hope that is spawns some compromise, but based on the actions of the Democrats in that chamber, I fear it will lead to gridlock more than anything else, and that's not a good thing.